No one’s a master of a near miss like O.J. Simpson.

We all know the history: in 1994, Simpson was acquitted of the murder of his ex-wife and her friend. In 1997, he lost a wrongful death suit brought by the two victims’ families, and was forced to pay $33.5 million, but dodged jail time. 

The ex-running back’s luck finally ran out in 2007. That year, in Las Vegas, Simpson and a few armed friends met with two memorabilia dealers who Simpson accused of stealing from him. The discussion turned violent, and Simpson left the premises with the items he claimed the dealers had stolen.

Two days later, Simpson was arrested, and later was convicted of kidnapping and armed robbery. 

Now Simpson has been in jail for nine years, and is up for parole.

What’s more, CNN reports, he is very likely to get it. (Who would have thought?)

“Simpson’s age, the fact that he was given parole on his first sentencing batch, weigh in his favor. So does the fact that he was by all accounts a model prisoner, as does any acceptance of responsibility for his actions,” Nevada defense attorney Dan Hill told the network.

Whether or not Simpson is released on parole depends on his scores on a risk scale. To be deemed a low risk, Simpson must score below a five. When last Simpson went before the parole board, he scored a very respectable three.

That score was based primarily on factors like age, gender and gang affiliation. Little has changed for Simpson since his last hearing, and he is expected to score a two or three again.

Being granted low risk status alone, however, does not entitle Simpson to parole; no matter how low his score, parole is ultimately granted or denied at the board’s discretion. Simpson would have to wait three more years for another chance at parole should he be denied this time. 

One of the parties Simpson was convicted of assaulting and stealing from, Bruce Fromong, said that he will testify on behalf of Simpson’s early release, “I told the district attorney at the time that I only thought that O.J. Simpson deserved one to three years in state prison.”

With even the victim of his crime on his side — which seems like a thing that would only happen to O.J. Simpson — you can see why things are looking good for old Number 32. He, and all of us, will find out if he’s been granted parole this July. If his bid is successful, he could be a free man by October 1.